Comments for loadedgunchasing.com Blog http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1 Mikey Gribble's blog and forecast page for www.loadedgunchasing.com Fri, 20 Jan 2012 18:28:05 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.5 Comment on Update by czjtbmpmgo http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/05/19/update-261/comment-page-1/#comment-11773 czjtbmpmgo Fri, 20 Jan 2012 18:28:05 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1718#comment-11773 gPmb7b <a href="http://ddiydpcykdyp.com/" rel="nofollow">ddiydpcykdyp</a> gPmb7b ddiydpcykdyp

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Comment on Update by Patty http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/05/19/update-261/comment-page-1/#comment-11608 Patty Wed, 18 Jan 2012 14:27:41 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1718#comment-11608 The voice of raitolnaity! Good to hear from you. The voice of raitolnaity! Good to hear from you.

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Comment on Waiting on the Computer by ardours http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2009/06/22/waiting-on-the-computer/comment-page-1/#comment-11076 ardours Tue, 13 Dec 2011 18:58:47 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2009/06/22/waiting-on-the-computer/#comment-11076 Excellent publish ! I wish to find out after you update your blog, where can i subscribe on your weblog?.This aided me a bunch. I had been little aware about them although this page set it up distinct concept Excellent publish ! I wish to find out after you update your blog, where can i subscribe on your weblog?.This aided me a bunch. I had been little aware about them although this page set it up distinct concept

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Comment on Now by Mikey http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-10527 Mikey Fri, 04 Nov 2011 11:49:47 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-10527 The shear looks good on Monday. I literally just glanced at the models for the first time though. SPC has Tuesday highlighted as the better probability day, but it won't be the best day from a chasers perspective IMO. As with any trough tanking on a negative tilt, the shear profile start to become unidirectional on Tuesday. With extremely strong low and mid level wind fields, storms will be hauling ass. It looks like it will be in rough chase country too with poor road networks. That in combination with the fact that once you start to loose the directional component the probability of tornadoes drops significantly is making me think Tuesday is going to be a virtual chase day for me. No way I'm going to Arkansas for that. Monday may have some big question marks and problems, but it's the more likely chase day IMO at this point. I'll take a closer look this weekend and make a post though because I really haven't looked at much yet. The shear looks good on Monday. I literally just glanced at the models for the first time though. SPC has Tuesday highlighted as the better probability day, but it won’t be the best day from a chasers perspective IMO. As with any trough tanking on a negative tilt, the shear profile start to become unidirectional on Tuesday. With extremely strong low and mid level wind fields, storms will be hauling ass. It looks like it will be in rough chase country too with poor road networks. That in combination with the fact that once you start to loose the directional component the probability of tornadoes drops significantly is making me think Tuesday is going to be a virtual chase day for me. No way I’m going to Arkansas for that.

Monday may have some big question marks and problems, but it’s the more likely chase day IMO at this point. I’ll take a closer look this weekend and make a post though because I really haven’t looked at much yet.

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Comment on Now by Steve L http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-10520 Steve L Thu, 03 Nov 2011 21:16:39 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-10520 mike what about this coming week? mike
what about this coming week?

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Comment on Now by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-10494 Administrator Tue, 01 Nov 2011 03:30:27 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-10494 I just glanced at the forecast after reading your comment. SPC mentioned moisture return being a big problem. The shear is better for tornadoes Friday, but there isn't good enough moisture or instability for a severe threat Friday. On Saturday there may be a small area with adequate shear/instability overlap in Texas for some severe weather, but nothing major. I haven't looked at it very close though. So unfortunately nothing worth chasing. If we had decent moisture on Friday it would probably be a chase day, but no dice lol. that is usually the way it works. When you have shear you don't have moisture/instability and when you have moisture you don't have the shear. I just glanced at the forecast after reading your comment. SPC mentioned moisture return being a big problem. The shear is better for tornadoes Friday, but there isn’t good enough moisture or instability for a severe threat Friday. On Saturday there may be a small area with adequate shear/instability overlap in Texas for some severe weather, but nothing major. I haven’t looked at it very close though. So unfortunately nothing worth chasing. If we had decent moisture on Friday it would probably be a chase day, but no dice lol. that is usually the way it works. When you have shear you don’t have moisture/instability and when you have moisture you don’t have the shear.

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Comment on Now by Steve L http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-10482 Steve L Sun, 30 Oct 2011 17:31:39 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-10482 From NY, but follow your page when there is a chance of tornadoes out where you are. Wondering if there is a chance you will chase next Friday or Saturday. Spc has a chance of tornadoes in Ark, Ks, Ok, Tx, Mo? From NY, but follow your page when there is a chance of tornadoes out where you are.
Wondering if there is a chance you will chase next Friday or Saturday. Spc has a chance
of tornadoes in Ark, Ks, Ok, Tx, Mo?

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Comment on Now by Mikey http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-9189 Mikey Tue, 09 Aug 2011 16:17:40 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-9189 Yeah I still use this page. I just haven't been updating it since tornado season got over with because I've been busy at work and haven't had much time. Not much to talk about storm-wise this time of year either. AS soon as we get a decent hurricane I'm sure I'll start posting on here again. And any time we get a decent chance for tornadoes in the plains I'll post a forecast. Early next spring I'll start updating again daily forecasts through storms season. Yeah I still use this page. I just haven’t been updating it since tornado season got over with because I’ve been busy at work and haven’t had much time. Not much to talk about storm-wise this time of year either. AS soon as we get a decent hurricane I’m sure I’ll start posting on here again. And any time we get a decent chance for tornadoes in the plains I’ll post a forecast. Early next spring I’ll start updating again daily forecasts through storms season.

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Comment on Now by John http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-9176 John Mon, 08 Aug 2011 15:20:33 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-9176 Is this site no longer attended? Is this site no longer attended?

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Comment on Update by Pharmacy http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/05/26/update-278/comment-page-1/#comment-9031 Pharmacy Thu, 21 Jul 2011 10:06:09 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1804#comment-9031 In these days of austerity in addition to relative panic about taking on debt, lots of people balk contrary to the idea of making use of a credit card to make acquisition of merchandise and also pay for a trip, preferring, instead just to rely on the actual tried and also trusted way of making settlement - hard cash. However, in case you have the cash on hand to make the purchase in full, then, paradoxically, this is the best time for them to use the cards for several motives. In these days of austerity in addition to relative panic about taking on debt, lots of people balk contrary to the idea of making use of a credit card to make acquisition of merchandise and also pay for a trip, preferring, instead just to rely on the actual tried and also trusted way of making settlement – hard cash. However, in case you have the cash on hand to make the purchase in full, then, paradoxically, this is the best time for them to use the cards for several motives.

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Comment on Now by Mikey http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-8789 Mikey Mon, 27 Jun 2011 21:11:11 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-8789 It does seem like the models have had a tough time with the cap and the extent of convection the latter part of this season. It could have been worse Bill. The storm I couldn't get to only produced one weak spinup so no big deal. When I saw that storm hooking up I thought it was on. I don't know what caused it to fall apart like that. I wasn't paying attention to data at the time, but it may have started to track into the outflow from the storms north of it. I have no idea, but I wasn't expecting to see it fall apart that quickly. I'm glad it did because i would have been hot if I missed a good tornadic supercell. There was just no way to get to it. I would have had to driven south 50 miles to St. Joseph, cross the river and then drive back north 60 miles or so to get to the storm. I would have never made it in time. Luckily the storm gods didn't make me pay as dearly as they could have because the conditions were there for some good tornadoes. It does seem like the models have had a tough time with the cap and the extent of convection the latter part of this season.
It could have been worse Bill. The storm I couldn’t get to only produced one weak spinup so no big deal. When I saw that storm hooking up I thought it was on. I don’t know what caused it to fall apart like that. I wasn’t paying attention to data at the time, but it may have started to track into the outflow from the storms north of it. I have no idea, but I wasn’t expecting to see it fall apart that quickly. I’m glad it did because i would have been hot if I missed a good tornadic supercell. There was just no way to get to it. I would have had to driven south 50 miles to St. Joseph, cross the river and then drive back north 60 miles or so to get to the storm. I would have never made it in time. Luckily the storm gods didn’t make me pay as dearly as they could have because the conditions were there for some good tornadoes.

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Comment on Now by Chad A http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-8786 Chad A Mon, 27 Jun 2011 17:13:23 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-8786 Bummer man... when we were having a cap bust up by York, we could see you down there in Northeast Kansas. Sorry you couldn't get east. The GPS decided to completely freeze up for us. Chase over, head back to Lincoln, NE. But wait, the storms finally did fire. Serious EML during the day that the models are having a very tough time with. I remember looking at SPC meso analysis and seeing 14 to 15 degree 700 mb temps over us, and we were only 78 degrees... oh crap. Things finally did come through, mostly a QLCS type system a few rotating areas and heavier hail as it passed through. Next time, I'm heading to Rapid City area for a few days when this ridge starts building Bummer man… when we were having a cap bust up by York, we could see you down there in Northeast Kansas. Sorry you couldn’t get east. The GPS decided to completely freeze up for us. Chase over, head back to Lincoln, NE. But wait, the storms finally did fire. Serious EML during the day that the models are having a very tough time with. I remember looking at SPC meso analysis and seeing 14 to 15 degree 700 mb temps over us, and we were only 78 degrees… oh crap. Things finally did come through, mostly a QLCS type system a few rotating areas and heavier hail as it passed through. Next time, I’m heading to Rapid City area for a few days when this ridge starts building

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Comment on Now by D. Bill http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-8785 D. Bill Mon, 27 Jun 2011 14:11:51 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-8785 Sorry to hear about that. I was the driver on a chase this year when I should have been the navigator, and I was taken into 20 minutes of city-traffic lights with no way to go east for 35 miles, when it should have been a simple turn to the east in the country. Chase over. These things happen, but it's hard to stop thinking about it. :>) Sorry to hear about that. I was the driver on a chase this year when I should have been the navigator, and I was taken into 20 minutes of city-traffic lights with no way to go east for 35 miles, when it should have been a simple turn to the east in the country. Chase over. These things happen, but it’s hard to stop thinking about it. :>)

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Comment on Now by Matthew Skroblus http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/comment-page-1/#comment-8782 Matthew Skroblus Mon, 27 Jun 2011 04:02:56 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/now-4/#comment-8782 Ugh! It's a kick in the face, I know. Living between the Missouri River and the Mighty Mississippi... I get kicked in the face like that on a regular basis... Not to mention having to navigate through the constant flooding of the Mississippi every year. Sorry you missed it. Hope you were able to get back on it. Ugh! It’s a kick in the face, I know. Living between the Missouri River and the Mighty Mississippi… I get kicked in the face like that on a regular basis… Not to mention having to navigate through the constant flooding of the Mississippi every year. Sorry you missed it. Hope you were able to get back on it.

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Comment on Today by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/today-50/comment-page-1/#comment-8776 Administrator Sun, 26 Jun 2011 16:55:11 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1936#comment-8776 Yeah you are right in the wheelhouse. Those are the best when you don't even have to leave home until an hour or two before initiation. I'm staring at a 3-4 hour drive. I'm a little skeptical about the cap and convective evolution, but I was more than a little pissed that I didn't man up and make the drive for last weeks tornadoes so I need to pull the trigger on this one. I had a higher degree of confidence in last weeks tornado setup near the surface low and north of it than I do today, but I still think today is a respectable setup. I'm hitting the road as soon as I finish setting up equipment. Good luck to you guys today too. Yeah you are right in the wheelhouse. Those are the best when you don’t even have to leave home until an hour or two before initiation. I’m staring at a 3-4 hour drive. I’m a little skeptical about the cap and convective evolution, but I was more than a little pissed that I didn’t man up and make the drive for last weeks tornadoes so I need to pull the trigger on this one. I had a higher degree of confidence in last weeks tornado setup near the surface low and north of it than I do today, but I still think today is a respectable setup.
I’m hitting the road as soon as I finish setting up equipment. Good luck to you guys today too.

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Comment on Today by Chad Alcares http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/26/today-50/comment-page-1/#comment-8775 Chad Alcares Sun, 26 Jun 2011 16:33:49 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1936#comment-8775 Our sentiments exactly - I have no clue how to forecast this type of setup, it is so nontypical. We're based out of Lincoln, Nebraska so it is a must chase for us (Steve Blum, Chad Alcares). Watch out when you get to the Missouri River, I-29 is closed from Omaha south to Rockport, MO... only place to cross to other side is Highway 36 at St. Joe. This stuff shouldn't end up that far east til late though. Good hunting. Our sentiments exactly – I have no clue how to forecast this type of setup, it is so nontypical. We’re based out of Lincoln, Nebraska so it is a must chase for us (Steve Blum, Chad Alcares). Watch out when you get to the Missouri River, I-29 is closed from Omaha south to Rockport, MO… only place to cross to other side is Highway 36 at St. Joe. This stuff shouldn’t end up that far east til late though. Good hunting.

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Comment on Tomorrow by Robert Hettchen http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/tomorrow-18/comment-page-1/#comment-8712 Robert Hettchen Mon, 20 Jun 2011 17:11:51 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1928#comment-8712 I agree mikey. i will most likely head up 35 north from ict to be safe and hope something fires to my south. i hate playing catch-up. I do think we will have some tornadic cells early in the evolution of developement today tho. and I would not be surprised to see storms fire by 2-3pm alond the dryline. im currently in kingman for lunch. visible sat shows the cu increasing just to my west 15 miles or so now I agree mikey. i will most likely head up 35 north from ict to be safe and hope something fires to my south. i hate playing catch-up. I do think we will have some tornadic cells early in the evolution of developement today tho. and I would not be surprised to see storms fire by 2-3pm alond the dryline. im currently in kingman for lunch. visible sat shows the cu increasing just to my west 15 miles or so now

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Comment on Tomorrow by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/tomorrow-18/comment-page-1/#comment-8711 Administrator Mon, 20 Jun 2011 17:04:45 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1928#comment-8711 I actually forgot about posting a forecast. I thought SPC handled it pretty well. I agree with most everything they said. It's a bitch trying to pick a target on a day like this. I'm either staying close to Wichita or hitting Nebraska. Definitely leaning towards sticking close to home though. I think the best bet is if you are going north you need to get at least to the crest in the dryline bulge. When you play the area immediately south of the bulge storms tend to go linear quickly. I think today you either go with the Nebraska target or you go with the southern half of the dryline where it straightens back out below the bulge. The NAM shows two areas along the dryline close to here where storms may stay discrete for a little while. One fires in south central Kansas and the other one fires near the KS/OK border. Anywhere south of Nebraska I'm afraid we'll be fighting high LCL heights. With strong speed shear you never know though and I could see a tornado occuring with any storm that stays discrete for a while along the dryline. Anticipating convective evolution is always tricky with these strong forcing arcing convection days. For the last setup like this is played like I mentioned above (high risk day when you got your good footage). The area north of the low produced and the southern half of the dryline produced. The arc in the dryline was too clustered and busted. I think that's about how this one will go down too, but obviously the potential isn't nearly as good today as it was then. I actually forgot about posting a forecast. I thought SPC handled it pretty well. I agree with most everything they said. It’s a bitch trying to pick a target on a day like this. I’m either staying close to Wichita or hitting Nebraska. Definitely leaning towards sticking close to home though. I think the best bet is if you are going north you need to get at least to the crest in the dryline bulge. When you play the area immediately south of the bulge storms tend to go linear quickly. I think today you either go with the Nebraska target or you go with the southern half of the dryline where it straightens back out below the bulge. The NAM shows two areas along the dryline close to here where storms may stay discrete for a little while. One fires in south central Kansas and the other one fires near the KS/OK border. Anywhere south of Nebraska I’m afraid we’ll be fighting high LCL heights. With strong speed shear you never know though and I could see a tornado occuring with any storm that stays discrete for a while along the dryline. Anticipating convective evolution is always tricky with these strong forcing arcing convection days. For the last setup like this is played like I mentioned above (high risk day when you got your good footage). The area north of the low produced and the southern half of the dryline produced. The arc in the dryline was too clustered and busted. I think that’s about how this one will go down too, but obviously the potential isn’t nearly as good today as it was then.

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Comment on Tomorrow by Robert Hettchen http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/tomorrow-18/comment-page-1/#comment-8710 Robert Hettchen Mon, 20 Jun 2011 16:35:54 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1928#comment-8710 no time for a forecast this morning? i think im gonna play the dryline from ict to topeka no time for a forecast this morning? i think im gonna play the dryline from ict to topeka

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Comment on Update by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/update-312/comment-page-1/#comment-8704 Administrator Mon, 20 Jun 2011 02:40:24 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1926#comment-8704 I'm not feeling too bad about bailing. The biggest reason I'm pissed is because I could have made some money with KWCH if I would have stayed out there. I've always had trouble staying in the field on days when my head isn't into it. Tomorrow is looking tricky. The NAM shows strong forcing with an arcing line of convection. I hate trying to pick where storms will stay discrete and produce with these types of setups. It's always a bitch. Also upper level winds are backed creating S hodographs. Not a big fan of that. North of the surface low pays off a lot on these types of setups. That or play the bulge in the arc or southern portion of the dryline where LCL's get higher but its close to home. Tough call. I'll figure it out in the morning. I’m not feeling too bad about bailing. The biggest reason I’m pissed is because I could have made some money with KWCH if I would have stayed out there. I’ve always had trouble staying in the field on days when my head isn’t into it.
Tomorrow is looking tricky. The NAM shows strong forcing with an arcing line of convection. I hate trying to pick where storms will stay discrete and produce with these types of setups. It’s always a bitch. Also upper level winds are backed creating S hodographs. Not a big fan of that.
North of the surface low pays off a lot on these types of setups. That or play the bulge in the arc or southern portion of the dryline where LCL’s get higher but its close to home. Tough call. I’ll figure it out in the morning.

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Comment on Update by Robert Hettchen http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/update-312/comment-page-1/#comment-8703 Robert Hettchen Mon, 20 Jun 2011 01:30:03 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1926#comment-8703 well let me know. on another note, look at that cell near junction city! wow! kc scanner storm chaser on imap (chasertv) has an amazing view of the incredible structure. I bet your kicking yourself right now. I know i am. I got to ict and turned around and headed home too well let me know. on another note, look at that cell near junction city! wow! kc scanner storm chaser on imap (chasertv) has an amazing view of the incredible structure. I bet your kicking yourself right now. I know i am. I got to ict and turned around and headed home too

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Comment on Update by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/update-312/comment-page-1/#comment-8702 Administrator Mon, 20 Jun 2011 01:22:56 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1926#comment-8702 Yeah I'm debating it. The 18Z NAM doesn't look nearly as good. I normally don't even bother to look at the off hour runs, but I glanced at it today. Have to wait and see what the 00Z runs show. If it looks good I may have to go. Yeah I’m debating it. The 18Z NAM doesn’t look nearly as good. I normally don’t even bother to look at the off hour runs, but I glanced at it today. Have to wait and see what the 00Z runs show. If it looks good I may have to go.

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Comment on Update by Robert Hettchen http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/19/update-312/comment-page-1/#comment-8701 Robert Hettchen Mon, 20 Jun 2011 00:45:50 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1926#comment-8701 I plan to go balls out for tomorrow. Let me know if you have a car full. either way I can pull 35+ mpg and I have extra room. its not as nice as the peanut tratior but I trust it to drive anywhere! and the a/c is ice!! I just cant pass up tomorrow as we are getting later in the season. I plan to go balls out for tomorrow. Let me know if you have a car full. either way I can pull 35+ mpg and I have extra room. its not as nice as the peanut tratior but I trust it to drive anywhere! and the a/c is ice!! I just cant pass up tomorrow as we are getting later in the season.

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Comment on Extended Forecast by Brad Jones http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/16/extended-forecast-46/comment-page-1/#comment-8691 Brad Jones Fri, 17 Jun 2011 23:50:27 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1905#comment-8691 I think oklahoma may hold some potential as well. I think oklahoma may hold some potential as well.

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Comment on Tomorrow by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/13/tomorrow-16/comment-page-1/#comment-8662 Administrator Tue, 14 Jun 2011 19:11:27 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1897#comment-8662 I am still going over data, but Jonesburg and Warrenton are too far east IMO. The warm front seems to be hanging back west farther than forecast. Picking an exact target is going to be a crap shoot too IMO because you never know how convection will evolve with a setup like this and the details of convective evolution could have a big impact on where the tornado threat is greatest. I'd focus more on putting myself in the best environment for tornadoes and hope that there is a semi-discrete storm in that area. Anyway, I am looking at data now so I'll get back to you shortly. I am still going over data, but Jonesburg and Warrenton are too far east IMO. The warm front seems to be hanging back west farther than forecast. Picking an exact target is going to be a crap shoot too IMO because you never know how convection will evolve with a setup like this and the details of convective evolution could have a big impact on where the tornado threat is greatest. I’d focus more on putting myself in the best environment for tornadoes and hope that there is a semi-discrete storm in that area.
Anyway, I am looking at data now so I’ll get back to you shortly.

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Comment on Tomorrow by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/13/tomorrow-16/comment-page-1/#comment-8656 Administrator Tue, 14 Jun 2011 18:31:44 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1897#comment-8656 Thanks for the compliment. I haven't put much time in effort into my blog for the last few weeks. It usually goes that way. I get burned out with forecasting early in the season and by the end I half ass it. I need a good tornado setup to get me motivated again lol. Well I haven't looked at today's setup much so I'd hate to give you bad advice (kind of like yesterday). I will take a look at it real quick and get back with you. Thanks for the compliment. I haven’t put much time in effort into my blog for the last few weeks. It usually goes that way. I get burned out with forecasting early in the season and by the end I half ass it. I need a good tornado setup to get me motivated again lol.
Well I haven’t looked at today’s setup much so I’d hate to give you bad advice (kind of like yesterday). I will take a look at it real quick and get back with you.

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Comment on Tomorrow by suddenincline http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/13/tomorrow-16/comment-page-1/#comment-8655 suddenincline Tue, 14 Jun 2011 18:05:37 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1897#comment-8655 Ok I love your site and your informatioin you give I was led here by mathew. Mathew and I headed to KC for a bust yesterday and I was wondering on your input for today I was just looking at models and It looks good to me near Jonesburg and Warrenton Mo. What do you think? Thanks Jonathan Ok I love your site and your informatioin you give I was led here by mathew. Mathew and I headed to KC for a bust yesterday and I was wondering on your input for today I was just looking at models and It looks good to me near Jonesburg and Warrenton Mo. What do you think?
Thanks
Jonathan

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Comment on Today by Administrator http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/13/today-48/comment-page-1/#comment-8652 Administrator Tue, 14 Jun 2011 01:36:23 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1894#comment-8652 Yeah that sucks it didn't happen for you today. I knew the cap was a major problem, but I thought it would break. The HRRR has done a decent job this year and it was showing storms consistently up until early afternoon when I quit watching it. Sorry I didn't get back to you sooner btw. I was taking a nap lol. I only glanced at tomorrow but yeah it very well could be more of the same. I seriously doubt I'll head out tomorrow. I definitely need to get a couple more chases in this season, but I still think there is plenty of time. I'm hoping we'll get one or two good setups in the Nebraska, South Dakota area. I've been taking a break from forecasting (for most part) over the last couple weeks so I just started paying close attention to the models yesterday, but early next week may be decent. Just have to see how the next few model runs go. I'm not giving up hope yet. Yeah that sucks it didn’t happen for you today. I knew the cap was a major problem, but I thought it would break. The HRRR has done a decent job this year and it was showing storms consistently up until early afternoon when I quit watching it. Sorry I didn’t get back to you sooner btw. I was taking a nap lol.
I only glanced at tomorrow but yeah it very well could be more of the same. I seriously doubt I’ll head out tomorrow. I definitely need to get a couple more chases in this season, but I still think there is plenty of time. I’m hoping we’ll get one or two good setups in the Nebraska, South Dakota area.
I’ve been taking a break from forecasting (for most part) over the last couple weeks so I just started paying close attention to the models yesterday, but early next week may be decent. Just have to see how the next few model runs go. I’m not giving up hope yet.

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Comment on Today by Matthew Skroblus http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/2011/06/13/today-48/comment-page-1/#comment-8651 Matthew Skroblus Tue, 14 Jun 2011 01:15:40 +0000 http://loadedgunchasing.com/blog1/?p=1894#comment-8651 Yea... We we bailed a while back. Things were looking good up till 2pm. Every time inhabe ventured towards KS this year I have been burned. Looks like tomorrow in MO will be a repeat of today. It is what it is I guess. Yea… We we bailed a while back. Things were looking good up till 2pm. Every time inhabe ventured towards KS this year I have been burned. Looks like tomorrow in MO will be a repeat of today. It is what it is I guess.

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