Still trying to decide if I want to mess with chasing today. I didn’t get up until after 11 and until about 10 minutes ago I had forgotten about the chase potential for today. I’m pretty out of it in the morning.
Storms continue to develop off the southwest edge of current convection along the KS/MO border. Paramaters are not very conductive for a tornado threat right now. The shear is okay, but CAPE is a little weak for this time of year where storms are currently tracking through. I have done zero forecasting so far so I better take a look at a few things. Right now I’m not optimistic. The 4km WRF seems to be a little too far south with convection, but it shows more discrete cells developing off the flank of ongoing storms later this afternoon. I’ll look a little closer at the setup, but right now I’m inclined to stay home and watch the world cup. I’m not a soccer fan, but I wouldn’t mind watching the game since this is the last one I’ll watch for four years. I’ll update through the day as I take a look at things.