I was going to post this on stormtrack, but then I thought about it and decided not to because I would inevitably piss somebody off that disagreed with me and on top of that I’d have to defend my statements with details. I don’t want to do that because I haven’t been drawing out charts like I some times do when I forecast so I don’t remember specific values or paramaters. I’ve just been glancing over things a bit, but I really don’t see a realistic tornado threat developing over southeast Kansas or northeast Oklahoma. I saw some people mentiong great wind shear along the front. I have no idea what sounding or map they are looking at, but there’s nothing great about it.
I think you are looking at high precipitation hailers along the front tomorrow.

Believe it or not I’m actually going to go chasing though. I realized today I’ve only shot a couple good hail videos so I’m going to go try to find the meanest hail storm, find a place to hide and then let it pound us. It should make for some awesome video if it works. I’m also going to keep a close eye on the tail end storm going up along the front. Always keep the tail end in sight and if there is a discrete tail end storm that is probably where I’ll be.

I’ll post a lot more in the morning when I’m not dragging ass and I’ve had a chance to look at tonight’s model runs. I’m super tired and going to bed in a second. Good luck too anybody going out chasing tomorrow if you don’t check out my forecast in the morning.