Just a quick update to the post below. The ECMWF is definitely a little slower than it has been with the progresion of the trough. I think a lot of this has to do with the positively tilted nature of it vs. the neutral to negative tilt we were looking at several days ago. Monday and Tuesday are looking like a more likely time frame for severe weather if this tends to be the case.
Again I will update in the morning or tomorrow sometime.
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