This mornings run of the GFS brings better moisture into Kansas on Sunday. It shows mid to upper 50′s, which if verified would be adequate for some decent severe weather. I have barely even glanced at the 12Z run because I don’t want to waste too much time forecasting when so much can change, but the gfs hasn’t been wanting to break out precip along the dryline. I haven’t checked the European, but I read the long range spc forecast and they mentioned the european was a little less progressive than the gfs and I’m not sure if it was as agressive with the trough digging south and taking on a negative tilt. I’ll probably start spending some time on it tomorrow. I just have a really long list of things to get done before I’m chase ready so I’m trying to knock those out one at a time. This is definitely taking away from my forecasting, but I’ll get on it.
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